...because I remember people being genuinely surprised at the outcome of the election in 2004. Especially here in Oregon--where our election results traditionally are blue rather than red--I distinctly recall overhearing conversations where people were floored that the rest of the county didn't vote the same way our grand state had.
It's human nature, I suppose, to always believe you are on the winning side. Certainly no one wants to be on the losing side, but sometimes we are aware of what the odds might be. The chances of our successes, of our failures...sometimes we have premonitions of how it will all turn out. Sometimes we really have no idea.
Back in 2004, I wasn't really that surprised at the outcome.
Here in 2008, If the polling data is accurate as to who is leading the election right now, I suspect I won't be surprised this time either.